Growth Of The Dow Vs Historical Averages

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S

ince 2009, the US stock market has been rising due to a Fed created, low interest rate environment.

However, the economy has not seen the same growth as the stock market.

This has many investors wondering if the current stock market rise will end due to “non impressive” economic growth — or if the market will continue to rise as the Fed may be forced to continue its economic stimulus plans.

To put the current stock market rise in historical perspective…

Global Asset Allocation Strategy: May 2015 Update

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S

o far, 2015 has been a volatile and choppy market here in the US. Global investors have begun to look outside the US for value opportunities.

Overseas markets continue to be the outperform US equity markets. And we are seeing increasing weakness in US Treasury Bonds.

This may be the start of a longer term “exit” from US markets as assets continue to shift into international markets.

Chart Of The Day: Nasdaq’s 15 Year Journey

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F

or some perspective on a key US stock market index, today’s chart illustrates the overall trend of the Nasdaq Composite since 2000.

As today’s chart illustrates, the post-financial crisis rally (which began in early 2009) has been significant enough to have the Nasdaq surge well past its credit bubble highs of late 2007.

In addition, the latest leg of the post-financial…

US Stock Market – Still Stuck

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T

he S&P 500 index is still stuck in a wedge pattern and investors don’t look to be too committed to the up or downside direction of the market.

As a result the S&P 500 has basically made no progress in over four months. This, despite the stregthing in small cap stocks – which usually indicates that investors are feeling less risk adverse.

Chart Of The Day: Home Price/Gold Ratio

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F

or some perspective on the single-family home market, today’s chart presents the median single-family home price divided by the price of one ounce of gold.

This results in the home gold ratio or the cost of the median single-family home in ounces of gold.

For example, it currently takes a relatively low 168 ounces of gold to buy the median single-family home. This is dramatically less than the 601 ounces it took back in 2001.

Will The Collapsing US Macroeconomic Data Keep The Fed At Bay?

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I

t is starting to feel like the release of any good economic data is being cheered on by an army of PR people nowadays.

People are quick to point to the improving unemployment rate and the rise in housing data.

But the reality is, economic data is still mixed and does not paint a rosy picture.

Below are two data points that I think we should all be closely watching: