Category Archive for "Market Indicators" | John Rothe | Portfolio Manager, Quant, Tech Geek, And Sometime Superhero To My Kids

Line In The Sand – Part II

On Friday, I mentioned how the market was setting up for a line in the sand moment. The S&P 500 was about to either break through, or bounce back from the rising trend formation (flag pattern). In addition, the 50 day moving average has declined to the breakout point of the trend. Basically this is creating ...

Tread Lightly My Friends

Don't get too excited about this market, yet. While the past few weeks have shown some impressive gains in most sectors (excluding finance): The S&P 500 index is in the process of forming a rather large flag and may be signalling a resumption of its downtrend: For those not familiar with flag patterns: Investopedia explains Flag: Flags and pennants are ...

Hmmm… Mutual Fund Cash Levels

1)       Major rallies occurred in 1974, 1982, and 1990 when the cash levels were greater than 11%. 2)       The market sold off in   1973, 1976, 2000 and 2007 when cash levels were below 4.5%. 3)       A low of 3.9% in occurred 05/1972. The market top was 12/1972 followed by a 46% decline. 4)       The next historical low was 4.0% on March 2000 as the S&P reached ...