Category Archive for "Market Indicators" | John Rothe | Portfolio Manager, Quant, Tech Geek, And Sometime Superhero To My Kids

What Money Managers Are Thinking – This Week’s NAAIM Survey

The green line shows the close of the S&P 500 Total Return Index on the survey date. The purple line depicts a two-week moving average of the NAAIM managers’ responses. The NAAIM Number 74.39 Last Quarter Average 50.93   Date NAAIM Number Mean/Average Bearish Quart1 Quart2 Quart3 Bullish Deviation 07/25/12 74.39 0 33.00 65.00 100.00 200 50.01 07/18/12 67.74 -125 47.50 70.00 92.50 200 52.76 07/11/12 61.85 -125 37.10 60.00 89.75 200 53.62 07/05/12 63.28 -125 46.00 60.00 83.50 180 49.21 06/27/12 44.84 -125 30.00 50.00 64.50 200 48.14 06/20/12 52.33 -125 32.50 53.00 70.00 200 45.66 06/13/12 43.63 -10 22.50 40.00 62.16 125 29.53 06/06/12 49.32 0 25.00 50.00 60.00 140 34.96 05/30/12 28.65 -125 0.00 36.50 57.10 110 46.73 05/23/12 31.78 -125 13.00 40.00 50.00 135 45.50 NAAIM member firms who are active money managers are asked each week to provide a number which represents their overall ...

All Eyes Are On Apple

Apple reports their 3rd quarter earnings after the close today. Many are wondering if the numbers may be a bit lower than expected, since everyone is waiting to buy the iPhone 5 when it is released. Does it matter? Apple's earnings may surge when the iPhone 5 is finally released. Any short term dips may ...

New NAAIM Survey Is Out – What Money Managers Are Thinking

The green line shows the close of the S&P 500 Total Return Index on the survey date. The purple line depicts a two-week moving average of the NAAIM managers’ responses.   The NAAIM Number 67.74 Last Quarter Average 50.26   Date NAAIM Number Mean/Average Bearish Quart1 Quart2 Quart3 Bullish Deviation 07/18/12 67.74 -125 47.50 70.00 92.50 200 52.76 07/11/12 61.85 -125 37.10 60.00 89.75 200 53.62 07/05/12 63.28 -125 46.00 60.00 83.50 180 49.21 06/27/12 44.84 -125 30.00 50.00 64.50 200 48.14 06/20/12 52.33 -125 32.50 53.00 70.00 200 45.66 06/13/12 43.63 -10 22.50 40.00 62.16 125 29.53 06/06/12 49.32 0 25.00 50.00 60.00 140 34.96 05/30/12 28.65 -125 0.00 36.50 57.10 110 46.73 05/23/12 31.78 -125 13.00 40.00 50.00 135 45.50 05/16/12 58.71 0 36.50 50.00 87.00 200 41.36   NAAIM member firms who are active money managers are asked each week to provide a number which represents their overall ...

Expect A Little Volatility Here

Since the start of June, the S&P 500 has raced back up to its 200 day moving average. Traders should watch this level for hints of higher volatility or even a short term reversal. For those who are not familiar with the 200 day moving average: From Investopedia ...when two averages with relatively long time frames cross over ...

A Summer Of Gold?

Gold is still rising on talks of European bank bailouts, cuts in the Chinese interest rates, and the potential for QE3. All this potential "new" liquidity seems to be getting gold bugs excited - especially those who are worried about an inflation spike in the future. Likely short term target is the 200 day moving average ...