Category Archive for "Market Indicators" | John Rothe | Portfolio Manager, Quant, Tech Geek, And Sometime Superhero To My Kids

And The Trend Continues….

The S&P 500 is still stuck in its sideways trend: Notice the decrease in volume as the S&P approached the top trendline - this is a good indication that investors are still worried about Europe's banking crisis and are not willing to take additional risk in this market. However, I think a contrarian strategy needs to be ...

What Money Managers Are Currently Thinking – A NAAIM Update

Current NAAIM Survey: For those not familiar with the survey, the National Association of Active Investment Managers (NAAIM) publishes a weekly sentiment indicator designed to measure the current market exposure of association members who based their investment strategies on active management. NAAIM has been gathering data and plotting the index since July of 2006. Looks like most ...

Is History Repeating Itself?

The US stock market is still stuck in its sideways trading pattern as investors are waiting to see what the outcome of the European banking crisis will be: I have been researching the similarities in market patterns between the current market and 2008, when the US went through its own banking crisis -- and I found ...

Update: What Are Other Investment Managers Thinking?

For the past three weeks I have been posting the results of the NAAIM weekly survey: What Are Other Investment Managers Thinking? Update: What Are Other Investment Managers Thinking? For those not familiar with the survey, the National Association of Active Investment Managers (NAAIM) publishes a weekly sentiment indicator designed to measure the current market exposure of association ...

Is It Time To Buy?

Not yet - the US stock market is still in a downtrend and we will probably start to see the market reverse back down soon. The S&P 500 is still trading downward in an orderly fashion within its trend line. In addition, the MACD is still negative and not near a crossover point (which traders ...

Watch Out Below…

So the S&P 500 finally closed below the "line in the sand" mark today. The next likely target will be at 1000 on the S&P 500 -- about 10% lower from here. If you haven't had a chance to read it, earlier today I mentioned my thoughts on the market in my Crystal Ball Prediction ...

Watch Tech Next Week

The US stock market is on the verge of a major breakdown. We are down to another "line in the sand" moment in the S&P 500. The market needs to trade up next week for the current sideways trend to continue and to avoid a large selloff: There are definitely some early signs that the market ...