John Rothe, CMT | Investment Strategy

When Missiles Fly, What Happens to Markets?

A Data-Driven Look at Stocks, Bonds, and Sectors After U.S. Military Strikes

Mar 2 • John Rothe, CMT

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February 2026

Nvidia's $120 Billion Year — And Why the Stock Dropped

Record earnings. Flat stock. What the market is really telling us about AI's $650 billion bet.

Feb 26 • John Rothe, CMT

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This Chart Pattern Last Appeared at the End of the Dot-Com Crash

Microsoft is 20% below its 200-day moving average. The rotation graphs are curling Northeast. History doesn't repeat — but it rhymes loudly.

Feb 19 • John Rothe, CMT

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The Golden "Hook": Why Gold’s Refusal to Drop is a Major Signal

While the consensus waited for a rotation into risk, the RRG just flashed a rare "higher low." Here’s what it means for the S&P 500

Feb 17 • John Rothe, CMT

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Signal vs. Noise: A Technical Look at High-Yield Spreads

Inflation and trade wars are dominating the 24-hour news cycle, but the BofA High-Yield Spread remains below the cloud. What this means for the S&P 500…

Feb 12 • John Rothe, CMT

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The NVIDIA Trap: Why the S&P 500 is Flat While New Winners are Soaring

The index is 7% NVIDIA, but the real money is moving elsewhere. Here is how we use Relative Rotation Graphs (RRGs) to spot the Great Value Rotation of…

Feb 11 • John Rothe, CMT

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The Disney Inflection: Technical Clouds, CEO Succession, and the Road to FY26

$26B in revenue and a new CEO: Is the Disney turnaround real? A Look at what the charts are telling us

Feb 3 • John Rothe, CMT

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December 2025

Why the S&P 500 Feels Stuck—and What to Watch Next

If you’ve felt like the S&P 500 is “stuck” despite constant bullish headlines, it’s worth looking at what the index is actually made of—and what’s…

Dec 16, 2025 • John Rothe, CMT

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April 2025

Further Crash or Is It Time to Buy?

Global stock markets aggressively sold off on the news that US tariffs would be more significant than expected.

Apr 7, 2025 • John Rothe, CMT

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March 2025

Stock Market Crash Ahead?

The US stock market continues to decline, with investors starting to worry that rising inflation combined with slower economic growth may lead to a…

Mar 11, 2025 • John Rothe, CMT

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Seasonal Trend or Start of a Structural Breakdown in the Stock Market?

Historically, February is a weak month for stocks in the year following a presidential election.

Mar 3, 2025 • John Rothe, CMT

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February 2025